Q1 2023
- Walmart released a disappointing set of results, with the big box retailer facing major headwinds in the form of higher product and fuel costs as well as wages.
- Q1 2023 revenue came in at $141.6bn, beating consensus by $3.55bn. EPS of $1.30 was $0.18 below estimates. Gross margins fell 87 basis points to 23.8%. This was partly due to supply chain disruptions and escalating costs, with double digit food price inflation resulting in steepening inventory costs.
- These results contrasted with the fourth quarter of 2021, where the company geared-up on inventory, ahead of supply chain disruptions. But weaker demand, on the back of rising inflation, caused markdowns in general merchandise as strapped consumers focused on affordable food items. This also resulted in a move to private label food items by price-sensitive consumers and fewer items in shopping baskets.
- Walmart appears not to have read the significant changes in the markets, like most of its peers in the retail sector.
- The group is focusing on downsizing its inflated level of inventories, which rose by around 30% in the current reporting period and is passing-on some inflation costs to consumers.
- The company is expecting improved results in the second quarter, with potential sales of higher seasonal merchandise items and better digital growth. Amazon remains the undisputed leader in that field, with Walmart still way behind the curve.
- The management outlook is cautiously optimistic for the current year with topline guidance of 4% vs 3% previously, with EPS to decline by 1%.
- Value offerings by Walmart should stand it in good stead, with alternative profit streams, such as the 30% growth in digital advertising, helping buffer against the tough economic times. The share price has declined significantly and is starting to reflect a better buying opportunity. I am a long-term investor in Walmart, but patience will be required for turnaround.